Boosted by the oil price rally, the Canadian dollar remains fairly supported despite the Bank of Canada this week reiterating that it will be cautious with respect to future hikes amid concerns over trade issues. Still, the central bank tried to sound optimistic about the economic outlook and if today’s inflation and retail sales figures show positive surprises then this could support the CAD further. But if they disappoint badly then we could see a sharp sell-off as investors’ expectations over the next BOC rate hike is pushed further out.
Today was a win for the euro bulls. The currency started the session on its backfoot, topping at the European open before seeing bad Italian CPI and the worst German Sentiment data since 2012 which led to a poor read on Eurozone Sentiment.
The euro opened the week on a strong note, recovering back to last week’s high near the 1.2450 mark. Price action moved sharply higher on the European open at 2:00 am CT and saw further gains as the U.S. dollar weakened on frothy data and a tweet from President Trump.
The U.S.-led strikes against Syria turned out to be a non-event as far the markets are concerned and fortunately there were no reports of casualties. Only three targets were hit and the wave of strike action has already been declared to be over -– at least for the time being, anyway. However, investors still remain wary of the potential for tensions to escalate between Russia and the West.
The U.S. dollar lost against most majors even if it appreciated against safe-haven currencies on Friday. The Syrian conflict concerns faded at the end of the week and boosted the USD versus the JPY and the CHF. The release of the meeting notes from the March Federal Open Market Committee proved to be a positive for the American currency as the Fed was more hawkish than expected. Next up for the markets will be the release of retail sales data in the United States and the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate statements.
All of sudden, on Thursday at around 11:00 BST, digital currencies came back to life after spending several days in tight consolidative ranges. Among others, bitcoin and Ethereum, in particular, looked strong and both cryptos have now extended their gains. Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Ripple and Neo have all gained ground, too. There was no obvious trigger behind the rally, but the selling did look overdone and a bounce back was long overdue.
Europe was closed for Easter Monday and the Euro had the lowest volume since the day after Christmas. After opening higher Sunday night and trading more than a halfpenny in the green, the Euro pared all gains to make a new low before settling near the middle of the session’s range.