Crude oil prices edged up on Friday boosted by stronger than expected U.S. economic data though the longer-term outlook for energy markets remains weak due to a global oil supply glut and uncertainty over economic growth prospects in Asia.
While it may not feel like it, crude is in the early phases of a new oil "super cycle." In fact, in the early stages of a super cycle it never feels like it but that is because we are laying the groundwork for supply tightness in the future.
At the time of this writing on Friday, both oil contracts look poised to finish the week lower. Brent is set to close lower for the second straight week, while WTI is about to snap a two-week winning streak. Despite this week’s losses, both contracts remain above their August lows, keeping bullish hopes alive that prices may have bottomed, even if the probability of such scenario appears to have diminished given the lack of further follow-up buying after that late August rally.
The euro fell 1% on Thursday on a darkening euro zone outlook, while global stock markets rallied as the European Central Bank chief pledged to beef up or prolong the bank's economic stimulus if necessary.