Perhaps the most over-hyped and misused phrase in the trading world is “paradigm shift,” yet the proliferation of U.S. energy production has created just that. And it will take the world’s energy producers and consumers a while to get used to it.
U.S. oil production is soaring, hitting the highest level in 22 years at 7.55 million barrels a day! Oh sure U.S. oil supplies fell by 2.8 million barrels but that was mainly because U.S. refiners went on a tear producing product.
The oil market got heavy as word of a possible story of a Fed exit, which started to permeate the trading floor on Friday. The other issue is oil going down to the Gulf Coast and whether our production boom will overwhelm the refineries.
So for oil, remember you can't fight the Fed or even the ECB and you can't outlast the guys who can print the cash. But really from a technical standpoint, the oil market was probably ready to bottom anyway.