Reading the bond market and the machinations of the Federal Reserve is difficult work. So much analysis comes from folks trying to affect policy. Here our experts give their take on where rates are likely to go in 2015.
After six years of a zero-interest-rate-policy (ZIRP), U.S. interest rates are set to go up. But that does not mean a straight shot up. The Fed has not been in a hurry and with inflation low, can manage the next stage of interest rate management.
Over the last 24 hours, Fed Chair Janet Yellen came out with a relatively hawkish outlook on monetary policy, stating that she still expects a rate hike “later this year,” that US economic prospects “generally appear solid,” and that the FOMC does not expect recent global financial developments to significantly affect policy.”
The U.S. dollar was gaining this morning on a stronger-than-expected GDP report, rising expectations of a Fed rate hike, and easing concerns about global growth. Second quarter GDP was up 3.9%, well ahead of consensus expectations of 3.7%.
The U.S. dollar approached two-week highs on Tuesday morning after Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart said he predicts the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates at the October or December FOMC meeting.
The U.S. dollar made gains this morning as markets anticipate that central banks around the world will ease monetary policy. The anticipation comes in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s decision last week to maintain its current rate level.
Two veteran bond experts assess the health of fixed income markets.
The Dow Jones was up 15 points at 11:20 a.m. EST on Thursday as markets and traders cautiously prepare for a policy decision today from the Federal Reserve at 2 p.m. The S&P was flat, while the Nasdaq added a lackluster 9.7 points.
World stocks inched to a three-week high and the dollar drifted lower on Thursday as markets waited to see if the Federal Reserve would raise U.S. interest rates for the first time in almost a decade, or opt to wait a little longer.

The markets opened up roughly 25 points this morning as investors remain tentative about the Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting on monetary policy that kicks off today.