Oil prices are rising on bullish supply data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and talk that the joint OPEC/non-OPEC Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) on Friday night set the stage for an extension of the existing production cut agreement as compliance with the current deal is starting to improve.
Oil prices are rising on hopes that Hurricane Jose will not do any damage to East Coast refiners that are running hot and heavy to make up for lost supply from Gulf Coast refiners that were hit hard by Hurricane Harvey. Refiners are already having success with getting gasoline prices to fall but there is more work ahead of them.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported quite clearly the impact that Hurricane Harvey and Irma had on gasoline supply. They reported the biggest gasoline drawdown in history, 8.428 million barrels, putting gasoline supply back to a three year low. Yet at the same, it showed what the U.S. refining community is going to have to do and it basically means that they will demand more crude oil as they look to rebuild supply.
While Florida and the rest of the Gulf Coast deal with the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey and Irma and the energy markets assess the short-term demand destruction, in the bigger picture for energy, we are getting very bullish data in supply versus demand.