EOG Resources is the premier onshore U.S. crude oil producer, capable of sustaining many years of very high production growth supported by its exceptional acreage position and industry-leading technical advances. The stock is currently trading at $103 per share (as of May 5) and has an upside target of $209 per share, which is more than double its current price, over the next 12 months assuming a $62 per barrel WTI crude oil price.
With a market cap of $217 billion, Chevron competes with the likes of Exxon (XOM), Shell, BP and Total. CVX consistently ranks among the lowest cost producers in its nine-company peer group. Strong production growth is anticipated in 2018 and 2019.
Venezuelan military rule of the state-run oil company PDVSA took an ugly turn after the Venezuelan military arrested two Chevron workers for what they say is graft and corruption. This comes as the American Petroleum Institute (API) reports a trifecta of draws in petroleum supply, and Morgan Stanly warning that U.S. refiners have had their fill of light shale condensate oil, something we have been warning about as well.
Six weeks ago, we took a deep dive into the absolute and relative performance of the S&P 500's energy sector. At that point, we concluded that, "[w]ith this year's breakdown from the 2016's "bearish flag" pattern, the long-term underperformance of energy stocks could carry over through 2017 and beyond." Updating the relative performance chart from that early May piece suggests that, if anything, the outlook for energy stocks has worsened with the latest drop in oil prices.
New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman is investigating Exxon Mobil Corp's accounting practices and why the oil major hasn't written down the value of its assets in the wake of a slump in oil prices, a person familiar with the matter said.
Global crude oil supplies are at a record 3.0 billion barrels, according to International Energy Agency in what they call an “unprecedented buffer.” This comes the day after oil prices were hit hard after the Energy Information Administration reported crude oil inventories grew by 4.2 million barrels last week driving inventories to 487 million barrels and driving U.S. supply to a near record high. This was led by crude oil imports that rose to 7.377 million barrels a day.
While crude oil prices in the short term are fixed on the Fed and current oversupply, in the big picture it may be time to party like its 1999. In 1999 oil prices had just come off a year (1998) where oil prices had dipped as low as $10.35 per barrel and there was doom and gloom across the energy space. Yet in hindsight oil in 1999 was at a historic turning point and a major bottom that changed the energy landscape for over a decade.