With a market cap of $13.5 billion, National Oilwell Varco (NOV) is a leading manufacturer of drilling equipment sold primarily to drilling contractors, marine rig shipyards in Korea and Singapore, and other rig fabricators from plants largely located in Texas. Its revenue is heavily dependent on oil and gas producer and drilling contractor capital spending and the outlook for drilling activity; both of which are sensitive to changes in the price of oil.
Quant Cycles (formerly called the Cycle Projection Oscillator) is a technical tool that uses proprietary statistical techniques and complex algorithms to filter multiple cycles from historical data, combines them to obtain cyclical information from price data and then gives a graphical representation of their productive behavior. Other proprietary frequency domain techniques then are employed to obtain the cycles embedded in the price.
“What is Aramco?” When asked whether it is an international oil company or a national oil company former Aramco CEO and former Saudi oil minister Ali al Naimi said, “I can tell you – and I’m not biased — that Aramco is no less than Chevron or ExxonMobil.” He had not quite answered the question. “We are a by-product of those companies; and we are different from, say, Kuwait National Oil Company,” Naimi continued.
Springtime seasonal in crude oil is being fed by a multitude of factors. Record gasoline demand, falling Venezuelan production, rising tensions between Iran, Saudi Arabia and the rest of the world is underpinning oil and oil product prices today. President Donald Trump is meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and the market is assuming that means that the United States and Saudi Arabia will take a tougher stance against Iran.
There is a lot on the plate for crude oil this week. Not only do we have the Fed meeting, we have the possibility of new sanctions on Russia and the potential pullback from the Iranian nuclear deal. This came against a backdrop of surging global demand for oil and related products.
Soybeans and crude oil have the most trending pivot math for the coming week, and all of my tracked symbols have narrow ranges on one or more of daily, weekly, or monthly charts. The Aussie, Pound, Crude, and Gold are range-compressed on all three charts! Breakouts are brewing.
Crude oil and product prices are putting in what should be a major seasonal bottom as global oil demand surges and the U.S. Petroleum Industry looks to fill the globe’s needs. In fact, the U.S. petroleum industry is doing their part to try to reduce the trade gap by exporting record amounts of oil and products. The U.S. shale revolution is touching the world in ways thought unimaginable by many just a few years ago.