U.S benchmarks are lower this morning with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both down more than 0.5% on emerging market fears and the escalation of the conflict with Turkey. China is leading the way lower on a delayed reaction to Monday night’s trio of dismal reads; Industrial Production, Fixed Asset Investment and Retail Sales.
The coming week of Aug. 13, 2018, sets up trending pivot math concurrent with narrow ranges (means breakouts) in the S&P 500 (countertrend bounce & maybe down), Japanese yen, Crude oil, and gold (extreme narrow range block/rectangle on daily chart). The Eurodollar has already made 5 easily-countable down-waves (Monthly chart) since the swing top I identified in advance months ago, and it has sideways pivots for this week but extreme trending monthly pivots into Sept.
Once again, the market is taking it personally. How many times have come here in the past year and a half playing Lord Rothschild to warn you we are dealing with a similar market from the late 30’s? What happened was I’ve been talking about it a lot longer but Rothschild went public so it gave the rest of us who are awake a lot of credibility. Still, the market went higher.
Sparkling. Spectacular. Stellar. Sterling. Stupendous. Super… and those are just the adjectives starting with “sp” through “su” that describe the Q2 earnings season for the S&P 500. Through Friday, 91% of the companies in the S&P 500 had reported earnings, and according to the earnings mavens at FactSet, this earnings season has broken all sorts of records.
Asian stocks rallied on Tuesday, following a surge on Wall Street that sent the S&P 500 to a near all-time high and the Cboe’s Volatility Index to its lowest level since late January. The strong earnings season has been the key factor lifting U.S. stocks. With 24.1% earnings growth and more than 79% of S&P 500 companies managing to beat profit forecasts it looks to be the best earning season in recent history.