Weather continues to be a headline story, mostly due to the fact that there is not much else to report on at this point. There are chances for rain in Argentina later in the week, but we are in the camp that thinks it may be too little too late.
Some trending markets, such as gold, the euro and bitcoin may continue their behavior into next week. I’m bullish-sideways for next week on all symbols I track, except the yen, soybeans and bitcoin, due to understudies. The Yen, Beans, and Bitcoin chart bearish to me. The breakout candidates for this coming week are the Euro (monthly pivots are equal to last month, plus trending weekly pivots), gold (bullish), soybeans (bearish hammer) and bitcoin (bearish).
Export sales yesterday morning came in at 1,752,996 metric tons, this was well above the expected range from 1,000,000-1,500,000 metric tons. The bulls will want to see this become a longer-term trend to keep this market grinding higher. The corn market was also helped by spillover from the strength in soybeans and wheat.
In corn, export sales yesterday morning came in at 1,974,400 metric tons, well above the top end of expectations which ranged from 1,000,000-1,500,000 metric tons; last weeks read was 1,769,595 metric tons.
Friday offered a surprising report for corn seeing that funds had covered 89K shorts in just one week. While that still leaves funds short 131K it was quite a bit more active than expected. A knee-jerk reaction to that news is to lose some support as other speculators ease up on buying ahead of the funds. It's a simple idea that buying ahead of the funds when they are record short can offer a large potential for fund help to your buy order.
Soybeans started the year on an up note as all three legs of the complex closed higher; Friday's COT report showed funds were light buyers of 15,500 contracts, good news for corn bulls; Hard Red Winter Wheat regions are still under a barrage of cold weather and wind chill warnings.
December was a fitting end for a year in which none of the major agricultural contracts – corn, wheat, or soybeans – ended more than 5% higher or lower than a year ago. The corn market was particularly quiet with only a 14-cent trading range for the month and a settlement price almost identical to a year ago.