The latest "saber rattling" surrounding nuclear tensions between the U.S. and North Korea continues to dominate the headlines, and some level of concern about the situation is certainly justified. While we still expect cooler heads to prevail, there's certainly an elevated risk that a miscalculation or miscommunication on either side could lead to disaster.
The sterling came off its highs and yields on UK debt fell on Thursday in response to the Bank of England and Mark Carney’s unconvincing attempts to warn traders that markets are behind the curve on interest rate hikes over the next few years.
Gold got a boost Friday on weaker-than-expected inflation and retail sales figures, casting doubt on the Federal Reserve’s ability to continue normalizing interest rates this year.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s meeting on June 13-14 June showed that monetary policy members were split over the timing of shrinking the balance sheet. While some Fed officials want to kick off the process for reducing the holdings of treasuries and asset-backed securities in September, others want to see more clues on inflation, which has been edging lower.
The Bank of England (BoE) caught traders off-guard on Thursday, turning what was expected to be a rather mundane affair into something far more interesting, as two policy makers joined Kristin Forbes in voting for a rate hike.
We've expected a relatively flat open on Wall Street on Wednesday, as traders await the minutes from the FOMC meeting earlier this month, having already strongly priced in a rate hike in June, with a second in December looking less certain.
The New York Federal Reserve said on Friday it raised its outlook for U.S. economic growth in the second quarter, citing positive surprises from industrial production and capacity utilization data in April which helped offset last month’s drop in home construction.
I can’t exactly say the markets were excited about the Bank of England’s “Super Thursday,” given the lack of any significant move in the pound ahead of the meeting.
The dollar once again fell against the euro and the pound even though the monthly jobs report surprised to the upside and the probability of a June rate hike rose to 100%.
The USD appears to have been provided with a temporary boost following the news that the United States added another 211,000 jobs to its economy.