It has been uncommon for gold to score single-digit percentage moves either way over the last decade; we see 2014 being an exception. Gold could be described as the 'Marmite' asset class — investors love it or hate it.
There are two main indexes tracked by commodity tracker funds: The S&P-Goldman Sachs Commodities Index and the Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index. Assessing the likely impact of these passive longs on Comex throws a new light on the record level of Managed Money short positions.
After more than a decade of perpetual strength, gold suffered its worst losses since the early 1980s. Many investors have eschewed the metal in favor of stronger markets; however, this has helped to return this long-term bull market to health.
With Janet Yellen confirmed as the new Fed chairman, gold is now focused on the different economic trajectories of the various major economies. The U.S. is strengthening while the U.K. is trying to cool off its hot housing market.
Conditions look set for the U.S. dollar to rally next year with the U.S. economy showing some real vigor and the U.S. Federal Reserve starting the process of tapering its quantitative easing program beginning in January.