Crude oil posted its biggest 3-day rally since 1990 and put futures back in bull market territory based on a report that U.S. oil production may be falling faster than previously reported, and OPEC is willing to talk with non-Opec oil producers to try to establish a "fair price for oil."
A second oil price rout of 2015 has forced Arab OPEC members to cut their price expectations for this year, showing they are prepared to tolerate cheaper crude for longer to defend market share and curb rivals' output.
Crude oil prices fell below $40 a barrel signaling that not all is well with the global economy. In a global equity market rout, fear trading has taken hold as traders run to the safe haven of bonds and run from just about everything else.
The IEA indicated in its report that the long-awaited rebalancing of the global oil market has begun but is likely to last through 2016 as the supply overhang is expected to persist through 2016. Overall it was a supportive report but one that is still projecting supply to outstrip demand through 2016.
World crude oil demand is expanding at its fastest pace in five years thanks to rebounding economic growth and low prices, but global oversupply will last through 2016, the West's energy watchdog said on Wednesday.
One day after shocking the globe by devaluing its currency, the Chinese government is now trying to tell us not to worry; that the move is not a sustained devaluation even after China's Central Bank for the second day in a row cut the guiding rate for the Yuan.
Since July, every time crude oil gets a bid there is some news to squash the rally. This time the People's Bank of China, in a surprise move, devalued its currency causing its biggest one day sell-off in almost 20 years.
Many oil companies had trimmed their budgets heading into 2015 to deal with lower oil prices. But the rebound in April and May to $60 per barrel from the mid-$40s suggested that the severe drop was merely temporary.