Oliver Sloup breaks down the trading day before WASDE report in grain futures markets.
The market softened up yesterday on the delay of a potential Phase-1 trade deal. The market has tried to claw back some of those losses this morning on headlines that the US and China have come to an agreement to roll back tariffs.
Corn futures continued to bleed lower yesterday, marking the fourth consecutive lower close. Harvest pressure and concerns over dismal demand continue to be a thorn in the side of the bull camp.
December corn futures were softer to start the week as the lack of bullish headlines coupled with harvest pressure was too much for the bulls to overcome. Crop Progress was released after the close, showing corn conditions unchanged at 58% good/excellent.
January soybeans were under pressure in the first half of last week’s trade on the cancellation of this month’s global summit in Chile, due to protests in Santiago. Both sides seemed hopeful that they would have been able to sign a Phase 1 deal at the summit.
Chicago wheat took a hard hit yesterday, much of what was likely technical selling. Export sales yesterday morning came in at 493,800 metric tons, up 31% from the 4-week average.
January soybean futures were a laagered yesterday as optimism around a phase-1 trade deal diminished after the Summit in Chile was canceled, due to protests in Santiago.
December corn futures have been drifting lower for the last two weeks as concerns over dismal demand continue to trump concerns overproduction. Yesterday’s weekly export inspections came in at 381,000 metric tons.
Corn futures continue to drift lower on the back of harvest pressure and a lack of flashy bullish headlines. This afternoon’s crop progress report is expected to show corn harvest at 47% complete, well behind the five-year average pace, 64%.
November soybeans finished yesterday’s session near unchanged as we head into November options expiration today. Typically strike prices with high open interest tend to act as a magnet, with many of those being below the market we could see pressure into the weekend.