Once again bearish news is hitting the crude oil complex and once again the market is hardly reacting to it. Reuters is reporting that some Canadian oil sands production restarted while the API reported yet another new all-time record high level of total combined inventories of crude oil and refined products.
Crude oil prices rebounded yesterday as the global risk to supply is risng at a time when global production may start falling. Not only are markets trying to assess the long term effect from the Alberta Canadian wildfires, but increasing risk to supply in Nigeria is making traders nervous. On top of that, Iran is signaling that it are ready to talk about a production freeze and the Energy Information Administration raised its price forecast for crude while predicting record U.S. gasoline demand.
Crude oil prices are on the rise as traders are starting to see signs of production destruction. What is production destruction? It is the opposite of demand destruction. When prices go too high we see demand destruction or demand fall. When prices go too low, we see cut backs in spending and investment that will call production to fall. We are now seeing the early stages of production destruction of a mammoth scale that will be felt for years to come.
Spring is busting out all over, and so is gasoline demand. Low gas prices are causing a buying frenzy at the pump as gasoline demand in the month of March hit an all-time record high. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API) the lowest average price for regular unleaded gasoline in 12 years has Americans guzzling gas like never before.