While OPEC and The Energy Information Administration raising its outlook for demand and lowers its projection for global Non-OPEC production, The International Energy Agency (IEA) releases a report that shows that tries to talk down demand next year admit they underestimated demand this year.
Do they see what I see? OPEC’s Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo is telling us that the global oil market is rebalancing fast as the glut of refined products is gone as he and OPEC take a victory lap ahead of their November OPEC meeting.
While Florida and the rest of the Gulf Coast deal with the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey and Irma and the energy markets assess the short-term demand destruction, in the bigger picture for energy, we are getting very bullish data in supply versus demand.
Although the EIA weekly report showed a larger-than-expected decline in crude oil inventories, the price of the commodity declined sharply after news that U.S. crude oil production increased. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude lost 1.62% and closed the day under important support. What does it mean for the black gold?
Since bottoming in early July, the energy sector ETF has rallied by about 5% to break meaningfully above its 50-day moving average for the first time since January. The ETF also was able to clear its eight-month descending trend line in the same area.