The pain of Egypt's currency devaluation may be felt well before the benefits, creating a period of at least several months in which there is little positive news to offset rising inflation and falling living standards, businessmen and economists say.
Brent crude is gaining on West Texas Intermediate contract as fears are rising that the situation in Egypt could spin out of control. That tension added more upward momentum to Brent, which already was being supported by labor unrest in Libya.
Overnight it seems that oil is now worried more about the prospects of the Fed tapering than all other global geopolitical and storm worries. Strong data out of Europe is offsetting concerns from Egypt.
Oil looks heavy while the stock market is in a Fed induced stupor. A rumor overnight of a blast in the Suez Canal was denied by the Egyptian military yet is a reminder that we have seen the market put in a sizable Egyptian premium.
Oil had a hard time deciding whether or not it wanted to continue its upward trajectory. While Egypt continues to simmer and we saw more violence, the truth is that the fears of an immediate risk to supply seems to be waning.