The Federal Reserve blackout period is now upon us, giving traders a week to speculate on the impact of what has been said and the few pieces of data we get between now and the decision next Wednesday.
OPEC raised its forecast of oil supplies from non-member countries in 2017 as new fields come online and U.S. shale drillers prove more resilient than expected to cheap crude, pointing to a larger surplus in the market next year.
A wave of risk aversion engulfed the financial markets last week following the instances of central bank caution which weighed heavily on investor risk sentiment. Asian shares were depressed on Monday with most stocks suffering their largest losses since June as fears over central banks adopting an inactive stance sparked market jitters.
You might be wondering who Rosengren is, but apparently he’s pretty important—that’s Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren I’m talking about. He single-handedly knocked the market out of the box on Friday when he said, “Futures markets are wrong, and the Fed likely should hike rates sooner than implied.”
While the crude oil market is looking for supply to rebound this week, there is now rising concern about demand. With the Fed talking up raisng interest rates and global central bankers questioning the effectiveness of monetary policy, it seems that there is not a lot of optimism in the global economy.