Yesterday’s USDA report had corn prospective acres at an astonishing 96.99 million acres, well above the average estimate of 94 million. Corn quarterly stocks came in at 7.953 billion bushels, towards the low end of estimates.
Attention is all on this morning’s USDA report, out at 11 am CT. Corn prospective acres are expected to come in near 94 million. Quarterly stocks are expected to come in near 8.134 billion bushels.
June lean hogs made new lows on Friday as trend-following funds continue to press the pedal to the metal. There’s not a clear indication of how things will open yet.
May corn continue to grind higher yesterday, despite news that two more ethanol plants will be closing, due to negative margins. Export sales this morning came in at a whopping 1,814,300 for old crop corn.
Cocoa futures have been weakened by demand and the global equity markets. As the US and European markets moved higher for back to back sessions for the first time since February, cocoa tried to bounce off a potential bottom in the May contract.
We do believe there is more room to the upside on the front-month live cattle contracts, but we think it may not be sustainable for another week.
May soybeans extended their rally yesterday on the back of hopes for better demand and potential port disruptions in South America. The market is giving back some of those gains in the early morning trade.
Corn futures staged nice recovery early yesterday but failed to hold all the gains into the close. This morning, prices are working back towards the top end of yesterday’s range.
Outside markets will continue to have a bearing on the grain sector, if we can avoid the limit down days and peak panic environment like we saw yesterday, we think the market can focus back on its own fundamentals.
As we continue volatility in every market, cocoa continues to move lower. As the May contract tests lows put in at the end of 2019, demand for chocolate could take the front stage for cocoa futures.