A word of caution to anyone who thinks trading is a passive exercise. Yes, Facebook got taken to the woodshed right there in the 618th day of the rally. The stock has not recovered and with a screaming headline at Drudge this morning, it appears they aren’t learning their lesson. They will continue to invite regulators. But that’s a stock market story for a different day down the road.
Time window season came and went. Then there was Facebook, which got clobbered just as markets hit 618 days off the February 2016 bottom. This was one of the tougher windows the market has encountered this century. There was plenty of reason to believe the 610 would sustain and in certain instances, it has. But for the most part, markets have been higher than they were in the middle of July.
Asian equities kicked off the week in negative territory following the declines on Wall Street on Friday. The solid U.S. GDP data did little to support markets. The economy expanded at its quickest pace since 2014 in the second quarter, growing 4.1%, almost double the first quarter’s growth. However, investors have already priced in the positive news and so it came as no surprise. In fact, the surprise was in some of the big tech earnings results, in particular, Facebook, Twitter and Intel, which led to declines of more than 2.4% on the Nasdaq Composite Index on Thursday and Friday.
Facebook lost about $119 billion of its value on Thursday, marking the biggest one-day loss in U.S. market history. The company's shares plunged $41.24, or almost 19%, to $176.26 a day after the social media giant reported disappointing results. The slide is the largest decline in market capitalization in history, exceeding Intel's $91 billion single-day loss in September 2000, according to Bloomberg data.
The unwavering uptrend in stocks in the last few years may be seeing disruption with the return of volatility in 2018. Institutional and retail investors are looking for various gauges to measure the effect of volatility and how that’s trending in the coming quarters. Most analysts think there may be more upside and opportunities to come this year even with (or perhaps because of) the emergence of geopolitical issues.
We are coming to the next phase of the divergence. I woke up this morning, turned on the box and first commentator I saw said we’ve started the next leg up in the bull market. Some of these people take it for granted the market is going up again. Has anyone noticed the Dow and SPX peaked in January?
With mega-cap FANG Tech names like Facebook (FB) blowing up, it might be time to look at smaller cap tech names; in industry niches less known. One niche fits that bill well. The Computer Networking industry space is populated with 10 companies, many of which are small-cap names.
What a very strange week. Last Wednesday the Transports led to the upside while the Dow lagged. You’ll recall the Dow lagged because IBM got clobbered on their earnings report. Also, the BKX along with Goldman Sachs flattened out. Goldman is still moving to the downside. Why is this important? IBM is the 9th weighted stock in the Dow while Goldman Sachs is number two.
Crude oil ran into tech trouble as the U.S. tech sector is under fire leading to a sell-off in stocks against a backdrop of rising oil inventory. The data breach scandal at Facebook is only one of many quick rising problems for the many tech firms and I am sure somewhere the Winklevoss twins are smiling.