The U.S. currency is weaker against all major pairs as US tariffs targeting China were announced. The U.S. dollar was trading higher on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by 25 basis points as anticipated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell was neutral on his first press conference but the economic projections painted a strong U.S. economy.
The S&P 500, gold, bitcoin and soybeans do chart bullish to me for next week. In contrast, the yen, euro, pound, Aussie, and crude show some bearish technical conditions for next week-quarter from monthly charts already noted. The short call spread weekly trade ideas in these is derived from bearish candlesticks in multiple time frames, volume and Fisher indicators, and range extension this week. clear. The Aussie, euro, soybeans and British pound show trending pivots for next week, and the yen (two-time frames), gold (two-time frames), Aussie, bitcoin and soybeans have range compression that also can produce wider weekly ranges than average.
Two recent criminal enforcement actions against individual cryptocurrency exchanges, including one offering to do business with a small-level marijuana business in California, indicate that federal agencies are using anti-money laundering laws as a vehicle for oversight over transactions involving cryptocurrency and proceeds from the sale of cannabis.
Here we are at the most important trading week of the entire year. You’ll never hear about this on the business channels, but Gann designated the March change of season as the most pivotal cycle point for markets of the entire year. Longtime readers of this column know I’ve come up with all kinds of names for it through the years.
The U.S. dollar is mixed against major pairs ahead of the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The Fed is expected to deliver its fist interest rate lift under Chair Jerome Powell. The Fed will publish its rate statement on Wednesday, March 21 at 2:00 p.m. Eastern. Strong data has fuelled the dollar revival but the drama in the White House and tariff uncertainty are keeping the currency down against safe haven currencies.
Soybeans and crude oil have the most trending pivot math for the coming week, and all of my tracked symbols have narrow ranges on one or more of daily, weekly, or monthly charts. The Aussie, Pound, Crude, and Gold are range-compressed on all three charts! Breakouts are brewing.
Last week we had one of the better jobs reports in recent memory with 313,000 new jobs in February in the United States. More important was the reaction as traders overlooked the potential for rates to rise. It was likely a given already as Powell warned they would do so. Nevertheless, the long bond maintained the low and the relief for longer-term rates has sustained since Feb. 21.