I took this week off for a holiday...until the UK Leave vote required a hasty return to address a radical shift in the global politico-economic landscape. Yet, it must be allowed that nobody could have confidently predicted the outcome of the UK referendum on European Union membership.
You might have heard, British voters are heading to the polls today, and they’ll decide whether to keep calling their meat pies “meat pies” or to succumb to the eternal damnation of being force fed European goulash.
The top 100 hedge funds averaged a return north of 10.5% in 2015, and the three-year average is a tad below 17%. Meanwhile, there are a lot of equity-long-short funds, indicating that good stock pickers are still around.
In a piece subtly titled “Institutional Investors are Delusional,” Meb Faber points out that the mean expectations in a poll of investors on net returns is 13%. That would require a gross return of 20%. Just 1% of more than 400 respondents (so just four people) are rational.
Why do politicians always want to get between people and their money? I was listening to an Uber X driver last night. She was at wit’s end. She had no job prospects and she was losing everything. She didn’t want to go on government assistance. Uber gave her a way out. This isn’t the first time I have heard a story like that.
One thing I have noticed over the years is when there is a crisis, it’s a really bad time to pass sweeping legislation. The momentum and justification for legislation comes from fear. “We don’t want that to happen again”, supporters say. For example, 9/11 happens and we get the Department of Homeland Security which is mostly a waste of money and allows the government to pry into all kinds of places it shouldn’t.
"It was theft and you knew it. It was fraud and you knew it, And you know what else? We know that you knew it. I don't know if justice is coming for you in this life or the next but if it does come in this life? Her name will be Elizabeth Warren."