The dominant feature for the agricultural markets this month was northern hemisphere production. Particularly important were the U.S. corn and soybean crops and the Russian wheat crop. All three crops started the month with modest expectations and some areas of concern, but by month’s end all crop estimates had increased. In the case of Russian wheat, they had increased significantly.
No, not the sustained collaboration Troika between the European Commission (EC), European Central Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that is overseeing the Greek Debt Bailout. While we feel the Greek Debt Bailout situation is still festering in the background on the IMF actually only funding its commitment once the European creditor nations agree much more extensive Greek debt relief, that is not the ‘troika’ of the moment.
There is nothing like the thought of your friendly neighborhood unstable dictator happily cheering along his newly confirmed intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and miniaturized nuclear weapons to give the markets pause. And of course, we say ‘neighborhood’ in the sense that media genius Marshall McLuhan noted back in the 1960’s that the new high-speed video communications had turned the entire planet into a ‘global village’.
Thursday’s EUR/USD 1.1733 CPR "down" signal being negated above its 1.1740 Tolerance means the prospects are for an even more accelerated phase of the euro up trend. That should be to at least the 1.2000 area prior to any significant correction. That seems reasonable on the macro context of the comparative data and secular strength of the euro.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission) announced today that by a unanimous vote of the Commission, it has issued an order granting LedgerX, LLC (LedgerX) registration as a derivatives clearing organization under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA).
The FOMC was a bit more hawkish this Wednesday. That is in spite of the fact that Fed Chair Janet Yellen is right that federal funds at 1.00%-1.25% are nominally accommodative compared to the Core U.S. Consumer Price Index data that just dropped back from 1.9% to 1.7% Wednesday hours before the afternoon FOMC announcements.