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Trading Techniques

TRENDS ARE ALWAYS OBVIOUS — IN HINDSIGHT. IDENTIFYING MAJOR TRENDS EARLY ON IS DIFFICULT, BUT ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS ALLOW US TO MINE DATA FOR SUBTLE CLUES, FIND COMPLEX INTER-ASSET RELATIONSHIPS AND IDENTIFY TURNING POINTS.

Premium ContentForex and Treasuries provide clues for gold

Gold, the one asset that has been used for hundred’s of years as a means of currency and wealth accumulation, is used today primarily as a hedge. Since peaking in the late 1980s, gold prices steadily declined, then held around $300 per oz. through the late 1990s. Then starting in late 2001, and during the past six years, gold prices have trended higher, surging to an intra-month peak of $732 in May 2006.

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If you’re going to day-trade modern markets, you need to be nimble, prepared and protected. Understanding how news events can impact the markets is key to long-term success. Here are five ways to better prepare for the unknown.

Five keys to surviving the news

Day-traders live for big news events. News moves markets. The Federal Reserve announces a rate cut, and the financial markets ignite. Terrorists succeed in delivering a crippling blow to an oil pipeline in Nigeria , and fuel prices spike and equity prices drop like a ton of lead. Many types of news events have the ability to make or break a trade, and with little warning.
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When selling options, there is significant downside if something goes wrong. Although you can protect yourself with spread techniques, these compromise some of the benefits of the original naked position. There are other solutions.

Premium ContentNaked but not overexposed

One of the first concerns that arise when trading options for income on a futures portfolio is how to manage the risk.
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Positions of T-note futures in or out of channels indicate potentially undervalued or overvalued futures. By knowing which is more likely, you stand to make money in the markets. Here we show you how.

Premium ContentEvolution of T-note channels

Recent events in the U.S. credit market highlight the importance of monitoring the Treasury-note futures channels described in “Channeling T-note futures,” July 2006. By reviewing how these events cascaded through the Treasury market, we can better understand how to utilize these channels in the future.
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