In the May WASDE global ending stocks are projected to be at 186.4 million tons, up 6.2 million tons from last year. The 51.2 million ton increase in foreign production will more than offset the lower forecast production in the U.S.
This past Thanksgiving trading week, the December 2013 E-mini S&P 500 opened at 1802 and closed at 1804. We could be seeing an early month correction along with end of the year profit-taking. December is the second best month for equity returns averaging an estimated 1.5%.
The Federal Reserve knows how a weaker U.S. dollar helps U.S. exports. Any threat to U.S. exports — a strengthening U.S. dollar — could hurt exports, in turn hurting the U.S. economy, which could hurt jobs.
Last week March 2014 coffee opened at $106.50, and after a rocket ride up on Tuesday closed the week at $115.25. What gave bulls the shot in the arm to do this? News last week was there could be a near-term squeeze in Robusta supply.
On Friday we saw a large drop in corn with Sept 2013 down $0.25. This was caused by the USDA Acreage report released that day confirming the U.S. corn acreage planted at 97.4 million acres, the highest planted since 1936 when an estimated 102 million acres were planted.
Last week August 2013 RBOB opened at $2.9015 and closed the week at $3.1175. On July 1, gasoline opened at $2.7101 and since then we have only seen one red candle in July. Could we see $3.40 before all is said and done?