The market softened up yesterday on the delay of a potential Phase-1 trade deal. The market has tried to claw back some of those losses this morning on headlines that the US and China have come to an agreement to roll back tariffs.
December corn futures were softer to start the week as the lack of bullish headlines coupled with harvest pressure was too much for the bulls to overcome. Crop Progress was released after the close, showing corn conditions unchanged at 58% good/excellent.
U.S benchmarks are holding at record highs and the risk-environment remains very healthy amid fresh U.S and China trade anecdotes. Expectations are mounting for President Trump and President Xi to sign an interim “Phase One” deal this month.
January soybeans were under pressure in the first half of last week’s trade on the cancellation of this month’s global summit in Chile, due to protests in Santiago. Both sides seemed hopeful that they would have been able to sign a Phase 1 deal at the summit.
U.S benchmarks are poised to open higher and extend record levels. The Dow joined the club overnight, achieving its first record high since July 15th. Call it momentum, an upbeat trade narrative, strong earnings, an accommodative Fed or seasonal bullishness.