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 Upside oil expectations beginning to fade 

 
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  Daily Market Analysis 01/27/12

 KEY TERMS
OVB       Outside Vertical Bar
VRCB    Volatility Reduced Compression Bar
STT 1     Trend Based on a Range Violation
STT 2     Trend Based on a Close Violation
RBB       Resistance Bollinger Band
SBB       Support Bollinger Band

Energies

CLH12:

  • Trends are bearish.
  • Possible STT 2 confirmation of a bottom with a close @ 100.25 or higher.
    • March Crude traded just high enough this week to avoid becoming a weekly VRCB but retreated fast after violating last Friday’s high, dropping over $2.00 from the day’s high and closing back below $100.
    • Crude has failed to close above $100 on any day this week for the first time since late November.
    • Upside Expectations are beginning to fade.
  • Projected Daily Range: 2.32
  • Projected Weekly Range: 4.65
    • Has currently traded 4.08
  • Projected Monthly Range: 14.61

 NGH12:

  • Trends are bearish.
  • Bearish OVB generated today after making new highs on current move @ 2.838. Upside Target over 125% achieved.
    • Nat Gas moved back into the direction of the technical trending pattern after shaking off some of the positive overtones out of the big producers.
    • A return back below 2.40 appears in the near future with a possible shot at the revised Q1 downside target of 2.161.
  • Projected Daily Range: .199
  • Projected Weekly Range: .320
    • Has already traded .549
  • Projected Monthly Range: .640

Parrish Hicks Capital Research is a trading technical analysis firm that specializes in Crude Oil (WTI). The two founders, Jim Parrish and Kris Hicks, have a combined 38 years experience in the commodity business and have accurately called the tops and bottoms of the Crude Oil market for the past eight  months using their trading methodology to confirm tops/bottoms, projected trading ranges and projected targets for those ranges. Although their expertise is focused on Crude Oil (WTI), they also provide technical analysis on 30 commodity markets including the energies, metals, equity  indexes, currencies, grains, meats, soft’s and interest rates. You can reach them at jim@parrishhicks.com and kris@parrishhicks.com.


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