Futures Magazine May 01, 2009
Cover Story
Can metals be strong in good times and bad?
By the end of 2008, the world of metals (both precious and base metals) experienced one of its most volatile years ever and investors and speculators are wondering what to do going forward.
Trading Techniques
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The put and call comfort zone
Market prices for options are rigidly structured by computer models. An option trader may have opinions on the proper buying or selling price, but ultimately the price will be placed close to an
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Day-trading silver with technicals
We are currently facing some of the most volatile market conditions that we have ever seen. Uncertainty in the marketplace creates this volatility and makes it difficult for the average trader to
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How yield curves signal metal moves
Yield curves in U.S. financial markets have long served as an invaluable guide to the bond market’s prevailing assessment of the cost of money, and more important, as an effective predictor of the
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Trading for keeps
Too many traders focus on setups and entry patterns, casting aside the concept of money management with the mistaken belief that if they enter correctly, then the profits will take care of
Forex Trader
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The search for recovery
Despite the well-defined and ongoing credit crisis, the financial contraction triggered by the Lehman collapse was sudden, severe, worldwide and went beyond expectations, despite being telegraphed in
Futures 101
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Learning to use options in trading
Using options and their ability to establish positions with a known risk is a good idea, but there is a catch-22. Beginner and less capitalized traders can benefit from options, but understanding
Editor's Note
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Golden rule?
A few months ago our parent company moved a Web site that had been run by the conference group over to the media division. And because the site focused on metals and pretty much anything brought up
Book Reviews
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Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis: How to Profit from the Shifting Currents in Global Marke
Ashraf Laidi is a highly regarded currency analyst whose focus spans the full range of global markets. This welcome text won’t tell you how to get rich trading forex but it does furnish penetrating
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The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need
Irony exists in the title and the content of this book. Had an investor diversified his portfolio in early 2008 (when the book came out) according to the authors’ six “good” alternative investments,
Market Analysis
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Crude oil climb?
Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Alaron, says that despite bearish supply and demand fundamentals, crude oil is still poised to move higher in May. He says the Federal Reserve’s quantitative
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Euro trashed again
Depending on the day and who you talk to, the euro is either on the brink of becoming the world’s reserve currency or of extinction. Recently it had been trading down, and analysts don’t expect a
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Nasdaq on fire
Among many analysts the Nasdaq 100 is the best indicator for equities among all the indexes. That has been true in the upward correction that began on March 10. The NQ never took out its November
Managed Money
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LACM settles with regulator
Last Atlantis Capital Management (LACM) and principal Irwin Berger has agreed to withdraw its National Futures Association membership in a settlement of a complaint charging the firm and Berger with
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Why silver may outshine gold
Silver is currently underpriced relative to gold and may offer the best opportunity for long-term profit in the metals sector. While both gold and silver are safe-haven investments, particularly as a
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The nature and origins of trend following
Although trend following has been a popular trading philosophy for many years, surprisingly little has been written about its origins and history. This is partly due, no doubt, to the scarcity of
New For Traders
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New for Traders
CME Group will offer OTC grain swaps through CME ClearPort. CME Group also announced four new average price options contracts and announced 14 new petroleum product swap futures contracts. CME Group
People
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Jones to head NYSE Liffe
Garry Jones was promoted to group executive vice president & head of global derivatives at NYSE Liffe, replacing Hugh Freedberg, who was promoted to chairman. Previously Jones was executive director
Trader Profiles
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Molinero: The sound of markets
Today, those questions are along the lines of “Can the same algorithms that digital signal processing (DSP) systems use to differentiate voice from background noise also be used to differentiate true
Breaking News
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ISE seeks regulatory reform
Questioning the effectiveness of the regulatory structure in the United States is nothing new, particularly in the equity options industry, which faces a much more burdensome structure. So on March
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Merrill Lynch to pay $39.8 mil
The fallout from the collapse of commodity brokerage Refco continued when the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (Finra) ordered Merrill Lynch to pay $39.8 million ($30.6 million, plus 9%
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Traders face serious jail time
Two Chicago Board of Trade floor traders were indicted in April on Federal fraud charges for allegedly engaging in noncompetitive trades that resulted in profits exceeding $2 million while depriving
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Federal Reserve in market for Treasuries
With short-term interest rates set at zero to 0.25%, one of the few ways left for the Federal Reserve Bank to affect U.S. interest rates is through direct purchases of Treasuries. After hinting for
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Did LTCM foreshadow recent events?
In the past decade, the world has seen a number of large-scale financial meltdowns. But first came the bankruptcy of hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) in the summer of 1998, which led
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Letter to the editor
As Dan Collins reports in the May edition of Futures, it's clear why the upstairs trader begged for electronic trading and why the downstairs trader suppressed it for as long as possible. Two
Industry Trends
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Credit default swaps: Still the object of desire
“There is a growing recognition that the dispersion of credit risk by banks to a broader and more diverse group of investors, rather than warehousing such risk on their balance sheets, has helped
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Complex margining
As regulators in the United States and Europe put pressure on broker-dealers to clear their OTC business, some within the exchange community have worried that the business could be a short-term
Markets
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Tech talk: Is the bull market still golden?
Riding the long-term gold bull can be quite a wild ride these days. Many traders have been bumped off the proverbial mega–bull, much like a rookie bull rider, as is illustrated in the daily chart
Profiles in Options
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Dan Keegan: Adding to a winner
Dan Keegan spent more than 20 years learning the nuances of trading options on the floor of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and now along with exercising those lessons in his personal
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Out-of-the-money put butterfly
Let’s take corn futures as an example. Trader Jo is anticipating a strong yield in corn despite a possible late start to the growing season due to a very rainy April. The concern is that excessive
Profiles in Forex
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Floyd: Trading the game
Floyd’s first foray into trading was in 1994, when he worked as an institutional sales trader on the fixed income and foreign currency desk at Standard Chartered Bank. He was “not a typical trader in
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Trading FX off of the S&P
Trading FX is the ultimate intellectual challenge. Contrary to what most books and ‘gurus’ tell you, there are no cookie cutter formulas to trading FX, or any other market for that matter. The FX