Cocoa Grindings Data and Supply News Lead to Volatile Trading Week

July 24, 2020 06:37 AM
A lack of demand and some bullish supply information
Cocoa traders should keep an eye on the euro and pound
Cocoa Futures Update

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The chart is showing traders that we may have seen the bottom in the September cocoa contract. The past few sessions have canceled each other out, one day up, one day down and so on. Grindings data has caused some of this volatility. Lack of demand and some bullish supply information has also created this recent pattern. As we have leaned on demand news for guidance, West Africa may have enough of a threat to production that prices may be able to find some support. Also, if the global equity markets continue to stay somewhat positive, we may be headed back above 2250.

For now, traders should keep an eye on the euro and pound for some additional directional help. The technicals also seem to be back in the picture for cocoa now since the demand concerns seem to be taking the sideline, so monitor the 2250 target and see where the market goes from there.

WEB OE Sept Daily Chart

Sept daily Cocoa futures chart
Source: Tradingview

If you are interested in discussing the soft commodities contact pmooses@rjofutures.com . 

About the Author

Peter Mooses is a commodity broker at RJO Futures. He enjoys the analytical aspects of futures trading and appreciates the economic impact that commodities have across all markets. Peter utilizes market analysis and trends to help clients achieve a balance between risk and return, while always keeping their investment objectives top of mind. Follow Peter on Twitter @PMoosesRJO