Covid-19 Still Controls the Cocoa Trade

The May contract has followed a positive turn in the equities market
Delivery changes and closed ports are affecting the cocoa supply chain
Breaking macro news could send the cocoa futures in either direction
Cocoa Futures Update

Cocoa Futures Update

Covid-19 Still Controls the Cocoa Trade

The May cocoa futures contract uptick may be short-lived. After a few weeks of consolidation during the recent volatility, the May cocoa contract has turned higher trading above 2400. This move has followed a positive turn in the equities market. As the world continues to brace for more Covid-19 cases, the market feels as if small positive signs may be headed our way. Although no one knows how long these recent changes to everyone’s lifestyle will last, the health industry and U.S. government continue to make efforts to work together and make life safer again. Although we are far away from being “normal” again, small steps are needed to get there.

Cocoa doesn’t have its own demand to help this move have any follow-through. Delivery changes and closed ports are causing the supply chain to be affected. Until there is more known about this coronavirus, the softs and food markets will be trading off day-to-day news and updates.

Continue to monitor the market closely, if any breaking macro news occurs, it could send cocoa futures in either direction. But technically, the chart is showing traders cocoa wants to break out to the short-term highs we saw just a month ago.

May Daily Chart


Source: Tradingview

If you are interested in discussing the soft commodities contact pmooses@rjofutures.com . 

About the Author

Peter Mooses is a commodity broker at RJO Futures. He enjoys the analytical aspects of futures trading and appreciates the economic impact that commodities have across all markets.