Cocoa Futures Influenced By Trade Deals, Brexit and UK Election

Traders are deciding whether to take the sideline before Brexit talks
Cocoa futures were down for the fourth straight session
All this could change with the UK election news tonight
Cocoa Futures Update

Cocoa Futures Update

Trade Deals, Brexit and Cocoa Futures

As of Thursday, cocoa futures were down for the fourth straight session. After the trade above 2600, traders took profit, causing some of this sell-off. As longs liquidated this week, traders are deciding whether to take the sideline before Brexit talks or reestablish positions. The markets should see volatility overnight. Demand has been growing stronger in cocoa. The technicals continue to give cocoa futures’ prices support as numbers have stayed above key moving averages. All this could change with the news coming overseas Thursday night. The Euro and Pound will be greatly affected by the coming news, which will carry over to cocoa.


The "Tweeter and Chief"

To add to the current uncertainty in the markets, President Trump tweeted Thursday implying a trade deal was near, causing equities to rally. This would affect the Asian markets and the demand for cocoa from this part of the world. This “unknown” will have traders guessing which side of the market to take.

 

Looking Ahead In Trading Setups


Conservative traders may look at buying options based on the direction they think the market will take. Others will take a wait and see approach.

The prospects of a 'phase one' trade deal should be an interesting one in cocoa futures, as well as all global markets.

 

Price Chart of Cocoa Market

Cocoa Futures Trading Pullback
Source: Tradingview

If you are interested in discussing the soft commodities further contact pmooses@rjofutures.com . 

About the Author

Peter Mooses is a commodity broker at RJO Futures. He enjoys the analytical aspects of futures trading and appreciates the economic impact that commodities have across all markets.