Stocks at new all-time high, will uptrend accelerate?

July 17, 2017 03:08 PM

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index break out above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

The main U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.4% and 0.6% on Friday, extending their short-term uptrend, as investors' sentiment remained bullish following recent economic data releases, among others. The S&P 500 index has reached a new all-time high at the level of 2,463.54. The broad stock market gauge has broken above its previous July 19 record high above 2,450 mark. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Friday, as it gained just 0.4%. However, it reached a new record high at the level of 21,681.53. The technology Nasdaq Composite was relatively stronger again, as it gained 0.6%. It gets closer to June 6 all-time high of 6,341.7. The nearest important support level of the S&P 500 index is now at around 2,450-2,455, marked by June 19 local high. The next level of support is at 2,430-2,435, marked by last Wednesday's daily gap up of 2,429.30-2,435.75. The support level also remains at 2,400-2,410, marked by the May 25 daily gap up of 2,405.58-2,408.01, among others. On the other hand, the potential level of resistance is at 2,465, marked by new all-time high. The next resistance level is at 2,500 mark. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see overbought conditions and negative technical divergences. The S&P 500 index broke above its over month-long consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

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