The Federal Reserve might hike U.S. interest rates later this year as long as inflation firms and Greece and other international wildcards do not get in the way, a top Fed official said on Friday.
Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, a dovish U.S. central banker, said negotiations over Greek debt and a slowing Chinese economy were among the possible disruptions that could delay the beginning of tighter U.S. monetary policy.
Questions remain over inflation, the U.S. dollar, and energy prices, so for now the central bank continues to await data that confirms its belief that the U.S. economy will continue to improve, he said.
"Were the U.S. economy to unfold as I and other policymakers expected in our June forecasts, beginning the policy normalization process later this year might be appropriate," said Rosengren, who does not have a vote on the Fed's policy committee this year.
He warned that the Fed's inflation and job market forecasts are subject to "considerable uncertainty," and acknowledged that he downgraded his assessment of full U.S. employment to 5 percent from 5.25 percent, a sign of patience in hiking rates.
"The emergence in recent weeks of questions about whether Greece and its creditors can reach a viable agreement complicates projections about how economic conditions are likely to unfold over the course of the summer and beyond," said Rosengren.