U.S. Dollar Index rallies hard off contract lows

U.S. Dollar Index

Last week the ECB decided to leave interest rates unchanged, yet Mario Draghi did allude to the potential of easing the Euro’s monetary policy in the near futures. This sent the Euro currency into a tailspin and, as a result, the U.S. Dollar Index rallied hard off contract lows. Coming into this week, a retest of previous resistance appears to be in the cards for the USD.

The resistance area that I am referring to is from 80.055 - 80.130, which marks the area constructed from multiple Fibonacci retracement levels as well as technical S/R pivots. This area of resistance could provide valid trading opportunities on both sides of the market. Near term momentum appears to have taken a turn higher, which could justify buying a breakout above the previously mentioned resistance area; however, given the longer term bearish action in price, the “knee jerk” rally that occurred late last week could provide bears with a more favorable entry level to short this market on a retest of resistance.

U.S. Dollar 30-minute Bar Chart (e-Signal)

About the Author
Erik Tatje

Erik Tatje is currently a market strategist at RJO Futures and is the author of The Tatje Report, a daily technical correspondence. He has been an affiliate member of the Market Technicians Association since 2011 and has passed all three levels of the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) program. Erik can be reached at etatje@rjofutures.com or 312.373.5176. Learn more at www.rjofutures.com.

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