General Comments: Futures closed lower on speculative selling. Trends have started to turn down for at least the short term, and speculators appear to be getting out of long positions. News of harvest progress in West Africa amid improving conditions was negative. The strong demand news of the last couple of weeks should be part of the price now. The weather is good now, and arrivals at ports are increasing. The harvest is underway and it could be that prices work lower for the near term. However, the overall fundamental picture should support higher prices as the supply situation should be tight and demand looks strong. That implies that the market should be able to digest the harvest relatively easily and resume the longer term rally soon.
Overnight News: Scattered showers or dry conditions are expected in West Africa. Temperatures will average near normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see scattered showers. Temperatures should average above normal. Brazil will get dry conditions and near normal temperatures. ICE certified stocks are lower today at 3.853 million bags.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed to down with objectives of 2620, 2530, and 2410 December. Support is at 2655, 2645, and 2610 December, with resistance at 2715, 2750, and 2780 December. Trends in London are down with objectives of 1660 December. Support is at 1700, 1670, and 1660 December, with resistance at 1740, 1760, and 1800 December.
General Comments: Futures closed sharply lower on follow through selling. Demand shown in the USDA export sales reports yesterday was poor. Good weather in US productions areas has seen the harvest pace pick up quite a bit this week. Traders should get more reports on demand next week. Brazil conditions are reported to be very good in Bahia. US crop conditions right now are generally good in Texas. The Delta and Southeast are reporting generally favorable conditions as well. Trends are mostly down on the charts and price action yesterday was very weak.
Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will see dry weather. Temperatures will average near to below normal. Texas will see dry weather. Temperatures will average below normal this week and near to above normal this weekend. The USDA spot price is 76.51 ct/lb. today. ICE said that certified Cotton stocks are now 0.110 million bales, from 0.102 million yesterday.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are down with no objectives. Support is at 78.80, 78.30, and 77.90 December, with resistance of 79.25, 79.75, and 80.10 December.
General Comments: Futures closed higher again on follow through speculative short covering. The weather is still good and demand is still bad. There will be less production this year due to greening disease and some unfavorable weather earlier in the year, but has no reason to rally as demand remains mostly on the weak side and there have been no tropical systems to hit the state. Growing conditions in the state of Florida remain mostly good. Dry weather has returned and conditions are said to be very good in almost the entire state. Temperatures are warm. Brazil is seeing near to above normal temperatures and showers.
Overnight News: Florida weather forecasts call for mostly dry conditions. Temperatures will average near to below normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 118.00, 116.50, and 115.00 November, with resistance at 122.50, 125.00, and 127.50 November.
General Comments: Futures were lower again in all three markets as traders see no reason to buy much. It was a quiet session. Traders in London and around the world are waiting for Vietnam to harvest and sell, and the harvest is underway. The harvest has been delayed due to rains throughout the country over the last couple of weeks, but it is dry now and the harvest can proceed under good conditions. The production in Vietnam is expected to be very big and traders expect more downward pressure on prices once the harvest starts to hit the market. We expect the harvest to total about 27 million bags. Brazil is thought to have a lot of Coffee to sell yet, but the market there seems quiet now. Colombia is actively selling even with very cheap prices. Coffee is available in Central America, but the market was quiet there yesterday.
Overnight News: Certified stocks are lower today and are about 2.732 million bags. The ICO composite price is now 104.78 ct/lb. Brazil should get light showers or dry conditions. Showers are likely early next week. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Colombia should get scattered showers, and Central America and Mexico should be mostly dry or get light showers. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 106.00 December. Support is at 108.00, 105.00, and 102.00 December, and resistance is at 113.50, 115.00, and 118.00 December. Trends in London are mixed to down with objectives of 1580 November. Support is at 1570, 1540, and 1510 November, and resistance is at 1625, 1650, and 1670 November. Trends in Sao Paulo are down with objectives of 123.50 December. Support is at 132.00, 129.00, and 126.00 December, and resistance is at 136.50, 139.00, and 140.00 December.
General Comments: Futures were lower and prices have completely given back the gains seen from the fire in Brazil last Friday. The overall fundamental of big supplies remains. Sugar prices had dropped until recently due to big world production and especially big production ion Brazil. The production in Brazil and around the world is still there, but the ability of Brazil to export just got to be more of a problem. Meanwhile, countries like India and Thailand have a little less competition for sales. Dry weather or scattered showers are now reported in production areas of Brazil. India should still have more than enough production to allow for exports and is offering. There are reports of strong offers from Thailand. Thai differentials are stable. Weather conditions in key production areas around the world are rated as mostly good.
Overnight News: Brazil could see dry conditions with near to above normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 1880, 1865, and 1855 March, and resistance is at 1935, 1975, and 2000 March. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 499.00, 493.00, and 487.00 December, and resistance is at 510.00, 517.00, and 519.00 December.