U.S. dollar showing strength as technical positions developing

We can see some U.S. dollar strength at the start of this European morning coming back into the market, which has been expected based on the latest intraday price action. We were looking for a three-wave move down on USD/CHF with our members, and so far we can see that pair found a bottom nicely around 0.9190 from where we can see some encouraging upside reaction. Looks like we could be heading back to 0.9290, and possibly 0.9330 this week.

USDCHF 1h- Elliott Wave Analysis


EUR/USD also is now reversing from our “do or die” level placed at 1.3400, but still need a channel break and impulsive structure (five waves down) from above 1.3400 to make sure we are going lower.

EURUSD 1h-Elliott Wave Analysis


For now we are sitting on our hands, no official trades, but we are watching USD/CHF, EUR/USD and AUD/USD very closely for possible U.S. dollar long set-ups. But at the moment, however, I think it’s too soon for trades, it’s still only Monday and also holiday in the U.K., so I believe it’s better to wait on more price action and see it then if a U.S. dollar rally has already began or no, and then go with the flow.

About the Author

Gregor Horvat, based in Slovenia, has been in the forex markets since 2003. He is a technical analyst and individual trader who has worked for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. He also is founder of forex services on www.ew-forecast.com. EW-Forecast.com provides technical analysis of the financial markets, highlighting behavioral patterns based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP). Website: http://www.ew-forecast.com/

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