General Comments: Futures closed lower on ideas that weather might be getting better in western Africa. Dry weather in West Africa could have hurt production and remains the primary fundamental support. However, there was talk that demand might improve after economic data in Europe and the US proved better than expectations. Ghana and Ivory Coast are still too dry, but showers are starting to pick up again. Temperatures are moderate. Production ideas are stable, although some ideas are starting to drop again. There is talk the drier weather could delay the harvest and the arrival of beans to ports. Ivory Coast has sold a lot of its new crop Cocoa already so any reduced production would mean fewer offers at the end of the calendar year when the harvest is most active. Malaysia and Indonesia crops appear to be in good condition and weather is called favorable.
Overnight News: Scattered showers are expected in West Africa. Temperatures will average near normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see scattered showers, but southern areas could be dry. Temperatures should average above normal. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. ICE certified stocks are higher today at 4.792 million bags.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 2390, 2370, and 2350 September, with resistance at 2490, 2500, and 2515 September. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 1610, 1600, and 1580 September, with resistance at 1670, 1685, and 1705 September.
General Comments: Futures closed higher on ideas of les production. More talk of production problems in the Southeast, and especially Georgia, as well as in Texas kept buyers at the table. Cotton production was estimated at 13.052 million bales last month by USDA, but the wet weather in the Southeast and still very dry conditions in Texas have caused analysts to start to drop estimates even more, and the USDA estimates were below the trade estimates before the reports. Very hot weather conditions in China continue, and the weather in Corron áreas is not really improvng right now in that country. US crops remain behind the normal pace. The poor planting conditions early in the year has made the crop progress behind normal. Texas is dry, but will turn cooler later in the week. Export sales have been on the weak side lately as the buy side of the market waits for prices to work lower. Weather for Cotton still appears good in India.
Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will see showers and stormsd through this weekend in eastern areas. Temperatures will average near to below normal. Texas will see dry weather this week and maybe a shower in the north. Temperatures will average below normal this week and near to above normal this weekend. The USDA spot price is now 87.39 ct/lb. ICE said that certified Cotton stocks are now 0.043 million bales, from 0.044 million yesterday.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are up with objectives of 92.80 October. Support is at 90.70, 90.10, and 89.10 October, with resistance of 92.00, 92.40, and 93.00 October.
Next page: Orange juice, Coffee and Sugar
General Comments: Futures closed lower along with most commodities markets and as there are still no real threats showing in the tropical Atlantic. The weather in the tropics has started to show a little more life. There is a system in the western Atlantic that does not show much damage potential and some are starting to form in the Eastern Atlantic as well. None of them look to be a threat for at least several days, if at all. The bulk of the tropical Atlantic is still seeing some very dry conditions and wind shear to prevent tropical storm development, but at least some systems that could become tropical are starting to appear. Growing conditions in the state of Florida remain mostly good. Showers are reported and conditions are said to be very good in almost the entire state. Temperatures are warm. Brazil is seeing near to above normal temperatures and mostly dry weather, and there are reports of stress to trees and the potential for lower production.
Overnight News: Florida weather forecasts call for some showers, but mostly dry conditions. Temperatures will average near normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are down with no objectives. Support is at 130.00, 125.00, and 124.00 September, with resistance at 135.00, 137.00, and 140.00 September.
General Comments: Futures were lower as the Real moved lower against the US Dollar, but held support on Brazil weather forecasts. Cold weather is in the forecast for the next couple of days and then temperatures should start to moderate again. Differentials held firm on a lack of offer from producers. Coffee appears to be available in Central America as farmers and mills clear inventories before the next harvest, but not much of the new crop is being offered yet. Current crop development is still good this year in most production areas of Latin America and also appears to be mostly good in Asia. Central America crop areas remain too dry, but conditions are said to be good overall. Colombia is still reported to have good conditions. Harvest conditions are good in Brazil, but cold weather is possible in the next couple of days. No damage of any significance is anticipated. Lows could be in the mid 30 degree area. Prices for Arabica are in a range.
Overnight News: Certified stocks are higher today and are about 2.772 million bags. GCA stocks are 5.432 million bags, from 5.201 million last month. The ICO composite price is now 120.19 ct/lb. Brazil should get dry conditions. Temperatures will average below to much below normal this week, then will moderate this weekend. Colombia should get scattered showers, and Central America and Mexico should get showers, and rains. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 120.00, 117.00, and 115.00 September, and resistance is at 125.00, 126.00, and 130.00 September. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 1900, 1885, and 1860 September, and resistance is at 1980, 2000, and 2030 September. Trends in Sao Paulo are mixed. Support is at 143.00, 141.00, and 138.00 September, and resistance is at 150.00, 151.00, and 155.00 September.
General Comments: Futures closed a little lower on weakness in the Real against the US Dollar, but did not fall much as cold weather in the forecast for harvest areas today and tomorrow. Temperatures are not expected to get cold enough to cause much damage, especially since the crop was hit just a few weeks ago in mostly the same areas. Brazil production has been down a bit lately due to bad harvest weather, but could still improve if the weather gets better soon. However, mills have been more interested in producing ethanol rather than Sugar due to price. Countries like Thailand and India also expect more production this year. Some Sugarcane was damaged in the freezes of a couple of weeks ago, and there could be some additional damage over the next couple of days. However, most forecasts call for temperatures to stay above freezing. Demand for ethanol has been good, but there is still a lot of Sugar and the supply side fundamentals seem to overwhelm any demand side strength over time.
Overnight News: Brazil could see dry weather and moderate temperatures for the most part, but frosts and some freezing temperatures are possible in the next couple of days.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed to up with objectives of 1750, 1770, and 1800 October. Support is at 1700, 1670, and 1650 October, and resistance is at 1735, 1750, and 1790 October. Trends in London are mixed to up with objectives of 514.00 October. Support is at 500.00, 494.00, and 491.00 October, and resistance is at 508.00, 511.00, and 514.00 October.