Gasoline soars as more problems hit refiners

Lightning Striking Again!

I thought that lightening was not supposed to strike in the same place twice. Yet when it comes to gas prices in the Midwest it seems that lightning strikes again and again and again. Just when it seemed that Midwest refineries were starting to get their act together, lightning strikes and prices go crazy again. Lighting struck the Citgo refinery in Lemont and at the end of the day to add insult to injury reports of a crude unit problem at the perpetually in maintenance BP refinery in Whiting, Indiana gave RBOB futures a late day surge that also coincided with the Brent crude expiration. The combination makes it hard to settle down, am I asking too much for it to stick around? Lightning strikes again!

The markets rallied back to the upper end of their ranges on supply worries and a soaring stock market. A stunning change of fortunes as U.S. data outperforms letting the U.S. forget about Japan and a reduction of fears of tapering.  Retail sales boosted by car sales led to speculation that people might actually put gas into them. Next week the Fed meets, so does anyone really believe that oil can breakout to the upside ahead of that meeting? Yes, we did see some support when the U.S. said that there is clear evidence that Syria used chemical weapons on its own people. The U.S. says it will support the rebels along with allies but do we know who we are backing. The lack of early action by the U.S. has allowed al-Qaeda to inflate the ranks and there seems to be a losing situation. Russia, China and Iran of course are backing the Assad regime. Our enemies and advisories always seem to seize on perceived weakness.

Natural gas traders seem to seize on what was a bullish report. Reports of buying ahead of the EIA report is raising eyebrows and some speculation that there could be an investigation surrounding the early release and option settlements. Stay tuned!! The Energy Information Administration reports that "Working gas in storage was 2,347 Bcf as of Friday, June 7, 2013, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net increase of 95 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 587 Bcf less than last year at this time and 58 Bcf below the 5-year average of 2,405 Bcf. In the East Region, stocks were 102 Bcf below the 5-year average following net injections of 57 Bcf. Stocks in the Producing Region were 2 Bcf below the 5-year average of 915 Bcf after a net injection of 25 Bcf. Stocks in the West Region were 46 Bcf above the 5-year average after a net addition of 13 Bcf. At 2,347 Bcf, total working gas is within the 5-year historical range."

About the Author
Phil Flynn

Senior energy analyst at The PRICE Futures Group and a Fox Business Network contributor. He is one of the world's leading market analysts, providing individual investors, professional traders, and institutions with up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline, and energy markets. His precise and timely forecasts have come to be in great demand by industry and media worldwide and his impressive career goes back almost three decades, gaining attention with his market calls and energetic personality as writer of The Energy Report. You can contact Phil by phone at (888) 264-5665 or by email at pflynn@pricegroup.com. Learn even more on our website at www.pricegroup.com.

 

Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. The information presented by The PRICE Futures Group is from sources believed to be reliable and all information reported is subject to change without notice.


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