Retail sales in the U.S. rose more than forecast in May, showing job gains and lower borrowing costs are encouraging consumers to spend.
The 0.6% increase was the biggest in three months and followed a 0.1% gain in April, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 83 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 0.4% advance. The figures used to calculate economic growth, which exclude categories such as automobiles, climbed 0.3%.
Interest rates held down by the Federal Reserve’s record monetary stimulus are bolstering car sales in the face of higher taxes and limited income growth. Higher stock and home prices are shoring up confidence, driving orders at retailers such as Gap Inc. and underpinning the household purchases that account for about 70% of the economy.
“The consumer seems to be faring very well,” said Brian Jones, senior U.S. economist in New York at Societe Generale, who correctly forecast the gain in sales. “The labor market is getting better. People realize that the employment situation has improved so they feel better and are probably willing to go out and spend money.”
Other reports today showed applications of unemployment benefits and consumer confidence dropped last week
Jobless claims dropped by 12,000 to 334,000 in the week ended June 8 from 346,000 the prior period, the Labor Department reported in Washington. The median forecast of 51 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for 346,000.
The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index declined to minus 31.3 in the period ended June 9, the lowest since early April, from minus 29.7 a week earlier. Consumers’ views on their personal finances fell to the weakest in more than two months and their opinion of the buying climate was at its lowest since mid-March.
Stocks fluctuated between gains and losses amid speculation that Federal Reserve policy makers will pare stimulus. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose less than 0.1% to 1,613.09 at 9:56 a.m. in New York.
Estimates for retail sales in the Bloomberg survey ranged from a 0.1% drop to a 0.8% advance.
Eight of 13 major categories showed gains last month, led by the biggest increase in purchases at auto dealerships in six months. Receipts at general merchandise stores climbed by the most since August.
Sales at motor vehicle dealers increased 1.8% in May, more than twice the 0.7% gain a month earlier.