“It’s not just the farm bill, it’s also the food stamp bill,” Huelskamp said.
Representative Collin Peterson of Minnesota, the top Democrat on the Agriculture Committee, said last week that no more than 150 Republicans will vote for the bill, meaning roughly 70 Democrats will also have to support it for passage.
Democratic sympathy for food stamps means Peterson needs to reassure his caucus that the final measure to emerge from Congress will resemble the Senate plan more than the House version.
“I don’t see the Senate agreeing to much more than it already has,” Peterson told reporters.
In the version that probably will go to the full House next week, food-stamp funding would drop $20.5 billion over 10 years.
More than a dozen smaller-government groups are pressing House lawmakers to split the subsidy from the farm bill, and then make deeper cuts to the program.
“The urban and rural logrolling deemed necessary to pass this bill has created an unholy bipartisan alliance that has long served to thwart fiscally responsible efforts to restrain spending and limit the growth of government,” the groups, including Heritage Action, Club for Growth, Americans for Prosperity and the American Conservative Union, said in a June 10 letter.
One House fight may focus on Peterson’s plan to support dairy incomes through supply management, under which farmers who voluntarily enter the system would cut milk production if prices fall below a set value. Speaker John Boehner, an Ohio Republican, is backing an alternative that moves producers to an insurance program without output controls, which Peterson says are needed to prevent a plunge in milk prices.
When Congress tried last year to pass a five-year farm bill, disagreements over dairy policy helped prevent the legislation from reaching the House floor. Instead, Congress settled for a one-year extension of existing law that begins to expire Sept. 30.
Without changes in the proposed measure, “It could potentially cause problems for the farm bill passing, because you’ll have Republican leadership and a good deal of Republicans you’ll need to have to pass the farm bill angry at a provision that’s going to be in there,” Jerry Slominski, International Dairy Foods Association senior vice president for legislative and economic affairs, said in an interview.
Lobbying expenses by agriculture interests increased to $138 million last year from $112 million in 2007, the year before the last farm bill passed, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a Washington-based research group that tracks spending on lobbying. Agriculture-industry employees spent $91 million on the 2012 elections, up from $70 million in 2008.
The Senate bill is S. 954. The House bill is H.R. 1947.
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