General Comments: Futures were lower again on what appeared to be speculative selling tied to big production ideas from Brazil as the harvest has started. Brazil weather remains mostly dry, but some areas could see showers later this week, which would be beneficial to trees. Dry weather helps harvest progress. Trends have turned down after the recent run to higher values due to the conditions and expected large production in Brazil. Current crop development is still good this year in Brazil, but it has been dry. Central America crops are mostly harvested and is too dry for good new crop flowering. Colombia is reported to have good conditions.
Overnight News: Certified stocks are slightly lower today and are about 2.751 million bags. The ICO composite price is now 125.52 ct/lb. Brazil should get mostly dry conditions, but showers are liukely about Friday. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Colombia should get scattered showers, and Central America and Mexico should get mostly dry conditions away from some showers in Eastern Mexico and northern Central America. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 126.00 and 116.00 July. Support is at 132.00, 128.00, and 125.00 July, and resistance is at 138.00, 141.00, and 143.00 July. Trends in London are mixed to down with objectives of 1990, 1940, and 1930 July. Support is at 1990, 1980, and 1970 July, and resistance is at 2030, 2040, and 2060 July. Trends in Sao Paulo are down with objectives of 161.00 September. Support is at 159.00, 156.00, and 153.00 September, and resistance is at 166.00, 170.00, and 171.00 September.
General Comments: Futures were lower on speculative selling tied to weak chart patterns and also on good planting conditions here in the US. The weather has improved in all areas with some precipitation in Texas areas and drier weather in the forecast for the Delta and Southeast. Traders also were looking for new signs of demand, but were not finding much. Ideas are that the demand can continue for now as China moves to increase its stocks and as private buyers there reject offers from the government due to quality and price. Planting conditions for the next crop remain a problem in the U.S. Dry weather is forecast for the Delta and Southeast, and much warmer weather is expected in Texas this week. Ideas are that farmers can get a lot of planting done with dry and warm conditions. Short term trends are mixed.
Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will see dry conditions or afternoon showers. Showers and storms could last through tomorrow. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Texas will get mostly dry weather, but showers are possible on Friday. Temperatures will average mostly above normal. The USDA spot price is now 79.01 ct/lb. ICE said that certified Cotton stocks are now 0.509 million bales, from 0.506 million yesterday.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are down with objectives of 83,209, 82.80, and 81.30 July. Support is at 83.60, 82.90, and 82.20 July, with resistance of 85.00, 85.40, and 87.10 July.
Next page: Orange Juice, Sugar and Cocoa
General Comments: Futures closed lower in quiet trading. Traders are wrestling with more reports of losses from greening disease on the one side and beneficial rains that have hit the state. The rains over the weekend and in forecasts for this week appear to be less than expected late last week. Many areas of Florida remain too dry. Greening disease and what it might mean to production prospects continues to be a primary support item and will be for several years. Irrigation is widespread, even with recent rains. Temperatures are warm in the state. The Valencia harvest is continuing. Brazil is seeing near to above normal temperatures and dry weather, but some showers are possible late this week.
Overnight News: Florida weather forecasts call for scattered afternoon showers much of the week. Temperatures will average near to above normal this week and near normal this weekend.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 19.00, 137.50, and 136.00 July, with resistance at 145.00, 147.00, and 150.00 July.
General Comments: Futures closed slightly higher in consolidation trading. There were some reports of shipments getting booked ahead of the Ramadan holiday to give some demand to the market. Traders remain bearish on supplies, especially from Brazil, and this has hurt New York prices in recent sessions. Traders are keeping an eye on developments in Brazil and expect big production as the weather is good. Demand is said to be strong from North Africa and the Middle East as buyers get stocks in hand for Ramadan in July. Chart patterns are weak. The northeast part of Brazil has been hurt by drought and Sugar production has been affected.
Overnight News: Mostly dry conditions are expected in Brazil, but some showers are expected on Friday. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 1670, 1610, and 1600 July. Support is at 1670, 1620, and 1600 July, and resistance is at 1700, 1720, and 1740 July. Trends in London are mixed to down with no objectives. Support is at 470.00, 467.00, and 464.00 August, and resistance is at 480.00, 487.00, and 491.00 August.
General Comments: Futures closed higher. It was another quiet news day. The weather now is good in West Africa, with more moderate temperatures and some rains. Ideas are that production in West Africa could be less next crop year as well despite the improved weather as farmers have not liked offered prices. The mid-crop harvest is underway, and less than expected production along with smaller beans is reported. Malaysia and Indonesia crops appear to be in good condition and weather is called favorable. Demand remains an issue. Some processors in Europe have cut back on operations. It is a sign of weaker consumer demand there.
Overnight News: Scattered showers are expected in West Africa. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see episodes of isolated showers. Temperatures should average near normal. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. ICE certified stocks are slightly lower today at 4.985 million bags.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 2315, 2285, and 2275 July, with resistance at 2365, 2370, and 2390 July. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 1515, 1490, and 1480 July, with resistance at 1560, 1580, and 1590 July.