General Comments: Futures were higher as outside markets held better. London was higher and shows signs of completing a bottom. Spreads have been firm, implying the market has demand and less offer. Prices in general have been weak as traders anticipate another big crop out of Brazil starting the Summer and as traders move out of May positions before the deliveries start. Ideas are that supplies are good for now and can only increase down the road as Brazil will soon start to harvest. Rains have increased in Vietnam and crop conditions have improved. Current crop development is still good this year in Brazil, and there are showers around. Production ideas remain big there. Central America crops are mostly harvested and is too dry for new crop flowering. Colombia is reported to have good conditions.
Overnight News: Certified stocks are lower today and are about 2.754 million bags. The ICO composite price is now 128.67 ct/lb. Brazil should get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Colombia should get a few showers, and Central America and Mexico should get mostly dry conditions. A few showers are possible in northern Central America and southeastern Mexico late this week. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 132.00, 129.00, and 126.00 May, and resistance is at 136.00, 138.00, and 141.00 May. Trends in London are mixed to up with objectives of 2075 May. Support is at 2010, 1980, and 1970 May, and resistance is at 2045, 2060, and 2080 May. Trends in Sao Paulo are down with objectives of 161.00 September. Support is at 166.00, 163.00, and 160.00 September, and resistance is at 168.00, 171.00, and 174.00 September.
General Comments: Futures were lower in response to disappointing economic data from China. Most commodities markets moved lower to sharply lower, and precious metals and the petroleum complex led the way down. USDA showed slow planting progress in its reports today as weather remains a big issue. Some traders think that US planted area will increase from the estimates released at the end of March due to more favorable Cotton futures prices and sinking Corn and Soybeans futures prices. Weather will be watched as more wet weather in the Delta and Southeast could create less interest in Corn and more in Cotton to avoid having Corn pollinate in the hottest time of the year. Demand ideas remain strong overall based on the strong export paces seen in the USDA reports in recent weeks and on reports of tight domestic and world cash markets, but export demand is a little less lately.
Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will see rains and storms through the end of the week and a dry weekend. Temperatures will average near to below normal. Texas will get dry weather. Temperatures will average much below normal. The USDA spot price is now 79.14 ct/lb. ICE said that certified Cotton stocks are now 0.468 million bales, from 0.462 million yesterday. India now expects to import 2.5 million bales of Cotton this year, from 1.2 million last year.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are mixed. Support is at 84.00, 83.50, and 82.60 May, with resistance of 86.20, 86.50, and 87.10 May.
Next page: Orange Juice, Sugar and Cocoa
General Comments: Futures closed higher as traders continue to look for reduced production in Florida this year. Some good rains were seen in the state over the weekend, but crought conditions persist overall. Greening disease and what it might mean to production prospects continues to be a primary support item. Weather is good for production overall, but more rain is needed. Irrigation is widespread, even with some rains late last week. Temperatures are warm in the state, and conditions are dry, and talk about the potential for more fruit drop and poor development of the crop for next year continues. The Valencia harvest is continuing. Brazil is seeing near to above normal temperatures and scattered showers.
Overnight News: Florida weather forecasts call for mostly dry conditions, although light precipitation is possible this weekend. Temperatures will average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed to down with objectives. Support is at 148.00, 144.00, and 141.00 May, with resistance at 155.00, 158.00, and 161.00 May.
General Comments: Futures closed higher as the selling seen in outside markets on Monday was not present yesterday. Traders are keeping an eye on developments in Brazil Talk that rain in production areas last week was hurting harvest progress was bullish, but the weather there is drier this week. Most traders remain bearish longer term on ideas that big production will be available to the market as the Brazil harvest is processed and comes to market. Chart patterns are sideways for the short term. Reports indicate that Brazil will start harvesting this month and that a big offer is expected. Exports from Brazil continue to be very strong overall despite the port problems.
Overnight News: Mostly dry conditions are expected in Brazil. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 1760, 1740, and 1710 July, and resistance is at 1800, 1830, and 1850 July. Trends in London are mixed to up with objectives of 511.00 August. Support is at 496.00, 494.00, and 491.00 August, and resistance is at 510.00, 513.00, and 516.00 August.
General Comments: Futures closed higher and made a break out to the upside after several months of range trading. Chart patterns suggest further rallies could be coming and fundamentals for the short term could support the charts. The flow of Cocoa from western Africa is weaker, and traders wonder about the quality and size of the mid crop after some hot and dry weather during the growing season. However, weather has improved in western Africa lately with more rain and somewhat cooler temperatures. Ideas are that production in West Africa could be less next crop year as well. Demand remains a big problem, with analysts looking for lower grind data from Europe when the data is released today. The mid crop harvest is underway, and less than expected production along with smaller beans is reported. Malaysia and Indonesia crops appear to be in good condition and weather is called favorable.
Overnight News: Scattered showers are expected in West Africa. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see episodes of isolated showers. Temperatures should average near normal. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and warm temperatures. ICE certified stocks are lower today at 4.747 million bags. Ivory Coast arrivals are now estimated at 1.064 million tons, from 1.066 million last year. ICE said 690 delivery notices were posted against May contracts today and that total deliveries are now 690 contracts. The European Cocoa Association said that the European first quarter grind was 339,377 tons, down 3.9% from last year.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are up with objectives of 2370 and 2530 July. Support is at 2275, 2255, and 2220 July, with resistance at 2330, 2350, and 2385 July. Trends in London are up with objectives of 1580 and 1670 July. Support is at 1490, 1455, and 1430 July, with resistance at 1560, 1570, and 1590 July.