Euro-area consumer confidence increased to the highest in seven months in February amid signs the economy may be gaining strength after slipping into a recession last year.
An index of household confidence in the currency bloc rose to minus 23.6 from minus 23.9 in January, the European Commission in Brussels said in an initial estimate today. It was the third straight gain after sentiment reached a 3 1/2-year low in November. Economists had forecast a December reading of minus 23.2, according to the median of 24 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said this month that confidence in the euro area has stabilized and the ECB sees a gradual recovery beginning later this year, though the situation is “fragile.” Investor confidence in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, jumped to the highest in almost three years this month, data showed yesterday.
Still, with euro-area unemployment at a record, the ECB forecasts that the region’s economy will shrink 0.3% this year after a 0.5% contraction in 2012. The appreciation of the euro, which has gained about 8 percent against the dollar in the past six months, could also put a drag on growth by hampering exports.
The commission is scheduled to publish the final numbers for February consumer confidence and the wider indicator of euro-area economic confidence on Feb. 27.
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