Stocks gain, but key technical highs remain selective

Weekly Review: MAAD, CPFL indicator analysis

Conclusion

While higher prices do not a decline make, especially when the Value Line index rallies to a new all-time high and the S&P 500 hits its best close in over five years, ultimately it is the overall quality of movement in all indexes and indicators that determines the staying power of the market on the Major Cycle.

Since our discipline dictates that we must gauge market “health” relative to indicator “health,” we must continue to suggest that the lack of outright price infirmity is not necessarily a reason to think market underpinnings are strong. It is that latter issue we continue to note with concern, given the fact NONE of our key indicators has confirmed strength in the major indexes for the better part of the past two years and since the highs of May 2011. Point is, however, how much longer can index pricing defy a negative indicator environment?

MAAD daily data for past 30 days*

CPFL daily data for past 30 days

Date

NYSE Adv

NYSE Dec

Date

OEX Call $Volume

OEX Put $Volume

11-29-12

18

2

11-29-12

86001

24299

11-30-12

9

10

11-30-12

22585

14307

12-3-12

5

14

12-3-12

17418

14769

12-4-12

13

7

12-4-12

7473

11819

12-5-12

15

5

12-5-12

10641

35677

12-6-12

13

7

12-6-12

11237

9199

12-7-12

14

5

12-7-12

21423

8692

12-10-12

12

8

12-10-12

5801

8010

12-11-12

16

4

12-11-12

58541

16935

12-12-12

14

6

12-12-12

14037

29016

12-13-12

5

15

12-13-12

16200

21122

12-14-12

11

8

12-14-12

755

2204

12-17-12

16

4

12-17-12

3965

2127

12-18-12

16

4

12-18-12

54268

15407

12-19-12

8

10

12-19-12

23234

17820

12-20-12

15

4

12-20-12

60116

9429

12-21-12

1

19

12-21-12

113448

24330

12-24-12

7

11

12-24-12

12273

4633

12-25-12

Holiday

 

12-25-12

Holiday

 

12-26-12

10

10

12-26-12

13183

9095

12-27-12

4

16

12-27-12

13740

15048

12-28-12

3

17

12-28-12

9876

20514

12-31-12

19

0

12-31-12

66137

7704

1-1-13

Holiday

 

1-1-13

Holiday

 

1-2-13

18

2

1-2-13

41038

18210

1-3-13

8

12

1-3-13

27988

14827

1-4-13

16

4

1-4-13

15918

9326

1-7-13

8

12

1-7-13

12111

9021

1-8-13

5

15

1-8-13

30884

8826

1-9-13

11

9

1-9-13

6980

9587

1-10-13

17

3

1-10-13

17253

12394

1-11-13

10

10

1-11-13

21372

8073

*Note: Unchanged issues are not counted.

MAAD Weekly data for past 30 Weeks**

CPFL data for past 30 Weeks

Date

NYSE Adv

NYSE Dec

Date

OEX Call $Volume

OEX Put $Volume

6-22-12

11

9

6-22-12

41604

118995

6-29-12

11

9

6-29-12

215980

45870

7-6-12

9

11

7-6-12

22987

66734

7-13-12

7

13

7-13-12

115325

165598

7-20-12

11

9

7-20-12

155286

106164

7-27-12

15

5

7-27-12

469554

55021

8-3-12

14

4

8-3-12

189964

56326

8-10-12

18

2

8-10-12

127913

51441

8-17-12

11

9

8-17-12

168381

34193

8-24-12

5

14

8-24-12

61567

91299

8-31-12

4

16

8-31-12

27713

56889

9-7-12

17

2

9-7-12

192729

30202

9-14-12

17

3

9-14-12

295058

62406

9-21-12

4

16

9-21-21

140898

41443

9-28-12

6

14

9-28-28

68066

104869

10-5-12

15

5

10-5-12

82790

46425

10-12-12

4

16

10-12-12

23119

203431

10-19-12

10

10

10-19-12

40632

219576

10-26-12

6

14

10-26-12

43539

151159

11-2-12

15

5

11-2-12

31681

39436

11-9-12

0

20

11-9-12

51223

261506

11-16-12

3

17

11-16-12

104817

333252

11-23-12

18

2

11-23-12

136708

34280

11-30-12

12

8

11-30-12

152468

59828

12-7-12

15

5

12-7-12

53407

49271

12-14-12

10

10

12-14-12

51445

98445

12-21-12

14

6

12-21-12

216650

126720

12-28-12

5

15

12-28-12

19431

48587

1-4-13

19

1

1-4-13

142605

25100

1-11-13

13

5

1-11-13

90566

22250

**Note: All data is for calendar week ending on Friday even though ending date may be a holiday. Unchanged issues in MAAD calculations are not counted.

<< Page 5 of 5
About the Author
Robert McCurtain

Robert McCurtain is a technical analyst/market timer, private investor and financial markets consultant based in New York City. He can be reached at traderbob@nyc.rr.com.

If you would like to read more about how the CPFL is constructed, read a Futures article on the concept. This link will take you to the MAAD article. A two-part series about system development with the MAAD also is available. 

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