Jobless claims in U.S. fall as storm starts to affect data

Fewer Americans than forecast filed claims for unemployment insurance last week as the effects of Hurricane Sandy started to show up.

Applications for jobless benefits fell by 8,000 to 355,000 in the week ended Nov. 3, the Labor Department said today in Washington. One state said the loss of electricity due to the storm suppressed filings, while others said workers who lost their jobs as a result of the weather were starting to apply, a Labor Department spokesman said as the data were released to the press.

It may take three to four weeks to see the full impact, the spokesman said, which indicates claims may jump back in coming weeks as more storm-related applications begin to be processed. A Labor Department report last week showed the economy added more jobs than projected in October and the unemployment rate rose as hundreds of thousands of Americans rejoined the job search as prospects improved.

“When you see bad weather, there’s usually a drop in claims, and then you typically see a rebound in the next few weeks,” said Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James & Associates Inc. in St. Petersburg, Florida, who correctly forecast the number of initial filings. “Underneath the surface, job destruction has been trending very low. Layoffs aren’t the problem -- it’s the relatively weak pace of job creation.”

Economists forecast claims would be little changed from the prior week at 365,000, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Projections ranged from 335,000 to 450,000 in the survey of 51 economists. The prior week’s reading was unrevised at 363,000.

Trade Deficit

The trade deficit in the U.S. unexpectedly shrank in September as exports rose, Commerce Department figures also showed today. The gap fell to $41.5 billion, the smallest since December 2010.

Stock-index futures held gains after the figures, with the contract on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in December rising 0.3 percent to 1,392.9 at 8:57 a.m. in New York.

Sandy struck the U.S. and Caribbean last week, killing at least 177 people, according to the Associated Press. The storm hit New York and New Jersey as it came ashore Oct. 29. About 8.5 million homes and businesses were without power at its peak and may have caused as much as $20 billion in insured damage, according to Hiscox Ltd., the biggest Lloyd’s of London insurer by market value.

Economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in New York project hurricane-related claims will rise by about 14,000 in the week ended Nov. 17, according to a report issued this week. It may take until late December before that distortion is unraveled, they said.

A less-volatile measure of claims, the four-week moving average, rose to 370,500 from 367,250, today’s report showed.

Page 1 of 2 >>

Copyright 2014 Bloomberg. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

comments powered by Disqus
Check out Futures Magazine - Polls on LockerDome on LockerDome