Gas prices stay high as refineries still offline

What Do Chicago and China Have in Common?

Market Watch reported that China's diesel production in August shrank for a third month, providing further evidence that the world's second-largest economy is slowing as downstream demand weakens for refined oil products. China's diesel output in August, which fell 0.5% to 13.74 million metric tons, corresponds with weaker Chinese value-added industrial output, which grew in August at its slowest pace since May 2009, and the country's crude-oil imports, which fell to a 22-month low in August. Although diesel is a main component of refinery output, China still processed 37.74 million tons of crude oil in August, up 1.5% from a year earlier. Overall processing volumes were higher because of year-on-year increases in other fuels such as gasoline and kerosene, which rose 5.8% and 7.2% to 7.47 million tons and 1.85 million tons, respectively. China's fuel oil output also rose to 1.66 million tons, up 17.8% on year.

DTN is reporting that Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries firmed its expectations for global oil demand in 2012 even after revising its year-on-year growth forecast down slightly from an increase in demand at 900,000 bpd to 850,000 bpd in its Monthly Oil Market Report for September released this morning.  Although lowering 2012's year-on-year growth rate, OPEC revised higher world oil demand for 2011 by 70,000 bpd to 87.89 million bpd, forecasting this year's consumption rate at 88.74 million bpd.  Global economic turbulence has not slowed oil consumption seasonality from its summer trend," said OPEC in its report. In 2013, OPEC forecasts world oil demand growth from this year at 800,000 bpd, unchanged from prior month. OPEC shows world oil demand peaking in the fourth quarter at 89.92 million bpd, rising from global oil consumption in the third quarter at 89.61 million bpd. An increase in world oil demand in July would lead to year-on-year growth of 1.1 million bpd for the third quarter projects OPEC. Driving the July increase was oil demand of 42.9 million bpd from developing countries that are not part of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, up 1.0 million bpd from July 2011.

We can’t forget the Fed. Germany called out the US over its debt as it looks for cover in case the courts rule against the ECB bond buying plan. The pressure is rising on the Fed to stand and deliver!

Today we remember the Sep. 11 attacks with moments of silence across all of the exchanges. The day that freedom was attacked and a day that changed our lives forever, and while the battle against hate and ignorance still rages, you can rest assure that the values of freedom and human dignity that this country stands for will long endure and outlive the emptiness and evil of our enemy. God bless all of the military that have fought to defend our freedom and all those whose lives were changed that terrible day.

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About the Author
Phil Flynn

Senior energy analyst at The PRICE Futures Group and a Fox Business Network contributor. He is one of the world's leading market analysts, providing individual investors, professional traders, and institutions with up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline, and energy markets. His precise and timely forecasts have come to be in great demand by industry and media worldwide and his impressive career goes back almost three decades, gaining attention with his market calls and energetic personality as writer of The Energy Report. You can contact Phil by phone at (888) 264-5665 or by email at pflynn@pricegroup.com. Learn even more on our website at www.pricegroup.com.

 

Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. The information presented by The PRICE Futures Group is from sources believed to be reliable and all information reported is subject to change without notice.


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