EIA expects highest natural gas supplies since 1983

Natural gas prices were able to shake off a bearish injection report after Chesapeake put the commodity bears on notice that indeed more production cuts could be coming. The Energy Information Administration broke a string of bearing more bullish estimates by reporting that working gas in storage was 2,888 Bcf, a net decline of 78 Bcf from the previous week. Yet, despite the fact we are swimming in supply, the Chesapeake talk kept the market from collapsing. That is a pretty impressive achievement considering the fact that supply was 714 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 714 Bcf above the five-year average. In fact the EIA says that the amount of U.S. working natural gas in underground storage at the end of March is expected to be the highest since 1983 for the close of the month, the traditional end of the winter heating season.

Now, normally this would be the type of news that would crush the heart and souls of the bottom pickers yet despite perhaps having sticky fingers, threats by Chesapeake gave the bulls a little life when they said that it is possible that they may cut production by another billion cubic feet per day on top of the billion or more that they have already cut. There was some confusion as to whether this was a done deal or just a threat, and it seems to be the latter. The bottom line is that while the Chesapeake announcement may have stopped the bloodbath in the market, it is also doubtful that this can create a sustained rally.

Phil Flynn is senior energy analyst for PFGBest Research and a Fox Business Network contributor. He can be reached at (800) 935-6487 or at pflynn@pfgbest.com.

About the Author
Phil Flynn

Senior energy analyst at The PRICE Futures Group and a Fox Business Network contributor. He is one of the world's leading market analysts, providing individual investors, professional traders, and institutions with up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline, and energy markets. His precise and timely forecasts have come to be in great demand by industry and media worldwide and his impressive career goes back almost three decades, gaining attention with his market calls and energetic personality as writer of The Energy Report. You can contact Phil by phone at (888) 264-5665 or by email at pflynn@pricegroup.com. Learn even more on our website at www.pricegroup.com.


Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. The information presented by The PRICE Futures Group is from sources believed to be reliable and all information reported is subject to change without notice.

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