Will optimistic economic numbers offset weak demand

Will disappointing holiday demand be the story or will a new wave of economic optimism generated by last week’s better than expected jobs report make the headlines? Companies did add more jobs than expected as non-farm private payrolls actually rose by 67,000. Forget that Chicken Little maybe the sky isn’t falling after all but with jobs still far from a pace that will get us back to normal I don’t think that there is reason to celebrate. I think the market may slip into a negative mode. Did the Labor Day holiday bail us out on the demand side?

According to the Energy Information Administration heading into the Labor Day holiday weekend, U.S. retail gasoline prices fell three weeks in a row with an average price of $2.68 per gallon which was the lowest level of the 2010 peak summer driving season and the second lowest price at this point in the past five summers. Still not even that may save the demand side of the equation. With storms battering up and down the East Coast, demand for gasoline was most likely impacted negatively. We are in the heart of the shoulder season and demand will continue to be very weak. We still maintain a bearish bias but still recommend playing the ranges.

The storms in the Atlantic never seem to end. There are three tropical waves that currently have about a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone. At this time the storms do not seem to be a threat still they will bear watching.

Phil Flynn is senior energy analyst for PFGBest Research and a Fox Business Network contributor. He can be reached at (800) 935-6487 or at pflynn@pfgbest.com

About the Author
Phil Flynn

Senior energy analyst at The PRICE Futures Group and a Fox Business Network contributor. He is one of the world's leading market analysts, providing individual investors, professional traders, and institutions with up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline, and energy markets. His precise and timely forecasts have come to be in great demand by industry and media worldwide and his impressive career goes back almost three decades, gaining attention with his market calls and energetic personality as writer of The Energy Report. You can contact Phil by phone at (888) 264-5665 or by email at pflynn@pricegroup.com. Learn even more on our website at www.pricegroup.com.

 

Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. The information presented by The PRICE Futures Group is from sources believed to be reliable and all information reported is subject to change without notice.


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